Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.407157 3.980619 4.590339 5.283748 6.047328 6.859500 7.785592
2024-10-27 2.493277 3.263671 4.144911 5.214088 6.462737 7.861972 9.535322
2024-11-03 1.964881 2.858850 3.950987 5.351106 7.066119 9.067519 11.547941
2024-11-10 1.561452 2.518265 3.762050 5.437514 7.575922 10.157114 13.449697
2024-11-17 1.190560 2.142426 3.461515 5.327021 7.802409 10.884352 14.918424
2024-11-24 0.901508 1.819021 3.175342 5.185575 7.951161 11.492067 16.233635
2024-12-01 0.706472 1.594520 2.989965 5.147752 8.211654 12.229175 17.712351
2024-12-08 0.547126 1.390819 2.802158 5.077219 8.406255 12.869315 19.067459
2024-12-15 0.477519 1.330972 2.827176 5.312593 9.027211 14.084053 21.190510
2024-12-22 0.387068 1.208308 2.730802 5.348946 9.356257 14.904867 22.804151
2024-12-29 0.348063 1.182631 2.793828 5.632706 10.049685 16.236296 25.120839
2025-01-05 0.306925 1.141844 2.823193 5.859632 10.661827 17.464662 27.317566
2025-01-12 0.253618 1.060240 2.772233 5.957537 11.093751 18.466990 29.251929
2025-01-19 0.191926 0.935535 2.622000 5.875683 11.244541 19.072608 30.654623
2025-01-26 0.160434 0.883159 2.606782 6.021611 11.750265 20.195307 32.790676
2025-02-02 0.130308 0.822348 2.564754 6.113981 12.170031 21.197956 34.771760
2025-02-09 0.093379 0.718133 2.412612 5.993312 12.238829 21.682961 36.028347
2025-02-16 0.063642 0.618345 2.251553 5.839324 12.240605 22.061512 37.133170
2025-02-23 0.045305 0.551451 2.155333 5.798061 12.422164 22.707455 38.625177
2025-03-02 0.030436 0.484929 2.046708 5.721315 12.536474 23.249046 39.970254
2025-03-09 0.026477 0.481102 2.102311 5.977027 13.225520 24.679909 42.624835
2025-03-16 0.018905 0.441939 2.054589 6.016484 13.539597 25.537024 44.451247
2025-03-23 0.017111 0.447356 2.133925 6.324382 14.329710 27.143051 47.394417